Контрольная работа по "Демографии"

Автор: Пользователь скрыл имя, 02 Марта 2013 в 09:39, контрольная работа

Описание работы

Целью этой работы является формирование знаний о системе показателей, характеризующие демографические процессы на уровне страны и регионов, об основных методах и формах учета населения и применение его на практике. Из этого следует, что основными задачами являются: рассмотреть имеющуюся литературу по заданной теме, определить основные формулы для расчётов, обозначить основные выводы. Актуальность темы определяется тем, что в настоящее время во многих районах страны наблюдается ухудшение ситуации с рождаемостью, смертность населения. Поэтому необходимо уметь проанализировать ситуацию и разработать методы по ее улучшению.

Содержание

Введение 3
Задача №1 4
Задача № 2 16
Задача № 3 21
Заключение 45
Список использованной литературы 46

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ДЕМОГРАФИЯ.docx

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540501

2003=                *1000= 0,0067:             2004=                  *1000= 0,0062;


             80,3                                                             80,3

585

2005=                    *1000= 0,0073.


               80,3

 

6) Рассчитаем общий  коэффициент разводимости:

,

где Р – число разводов.

 

               566                                               549

1979=                 *1000= 0,0070;  1980 =              *1000= 0,0069;


80,3                                               80,3

               558                                                   539

1981=                *1000= 0,0070;      1982=             *1000= 0,0067;


80,3                                                  80,3

584                                                      591

1983=              *1000= 0,0073;          1984=            *1000=0,0074;


            80,3                                                      80,3

             594                             589

1985=            *1000= 0,0074;            1986=              * 1000= 0,0073;


              80,3                                                      80,3

               633                            655

1987=                  *1000= 0,0079;        1988=           *1000= 0,0082;


            80,3                                                       80,3

              635                            521

1989=                 *1000= 0,0079;      1990=               *1000= 0,0065;


               80,3                                                   80,3

             560                              612

1991=          *1000= 0,0070;    1992=             *1000= 0,0076;


            80,3                                            80,3

              615                              576

1993=                *1000=0,0077;               1994=                  *1000= 0,0072;


             80,3                                                             80,3

               612                             375

1995=                 *1000= 0,0076;             1996=                    *1000= 0,0047:


              80,3                                                              80,3

 

       346                             319

1997=               *1000= 0,0043:               1998=            *1000= 0,0040;


             80,3                                                          80,3

             308                             415

1999 =               *1000= 0,0038:           2000=            *1000= 0,0052;


             80,3                                                      80,3

              510                             555

2001 =                 *1000= 0,0064;       2002=              *1000= 0,0069;


              80,3                                                       80,3

              478                             399

2003=                *1000= 0,0060:             2004=                  *1000= 0,0050;


             80,3                                                             80,3

                433

2005=                    *1000= 0,0054.


               80,3

 

7) Рассчитаем удельный  вес городских жителей:

 

               79,8         82,5

1979=                 *100%= 98,76%;     1980 =              *100%= 98,80%;


80,8         83,5

               86,0                             88,5

1981=                *100%= 99,08%;      1982=             *100% = 99,22%;


86,8                             89,2

91,093,9

1983=              *100% = 99,45%;          1984=            *100% =99,56%;


            91,5                            94,3

97,099,0

1985=            *100% = 99,59%;       1986=              * 100%= 99,60%;


              97,4                            99,4

102,1103,8

1987=                  *100= 117,17%;        1988=            *100% = 99,71%;


              102,5                            104,1

112,883,2

1989=                 *100% = 99,73;      1990=               *100% = 99,76%;


               113,1                            83,4

83,281,8

1991=          *100% = 99,88%;    1992=             *100% = 99,88%;


            83,3                                            81,9

78,876,3

1993=                *100% =99,87%;          1994=                  *100%= 100%;


             80,3                                                             76,3

73,871,7

1995=                 *100% = 100%;             1996=                    *100% = 100%:


              73,8              71,7

69,868,6

1997=               *100% = 100%:               1998=            *100% = 100%;


             69,868,6

67,8                            66,6

1999 =               *100% = 100%:           2000=            *100%= 100%;


             67,8                            66,6

65,865,1

2001 =                 *100%= 100%;       2002=              *100% = 100%;


              65,8                            65,1

     64,463,7

2003=                *100%= 100%:             2004=                  *100%= 100%;


             64,4                            63,7

63,3                                                     62,9

2005=                    *100%= 100%:     2006 =                *100%= 100%.


               63,3                                                     62,9

 

8) Рассчитаем коэффициенты  младенческой смертности:

,

где - число умерших детей до 1 года.

               25                                                   28

1979=                 *1000= 0,000017;1980 =              *1000= 0,000019;


1458                                   1476

               20                                                   23

1981=                *1000= 0,000013;     1982=             *1000= 0,000013;


1549                               1707

32                                                         36

1983=              *1000= 0,000018;       1984=            *1000=0,000020;


            1750  1797

             45                                                          27

1985=            *1000= 0,000026;        1986=              * 1000= 0,000014;


              1756    1911

               36                                                         31

1987=                  *1000= 0,000019;     1988=           *1000= 0,000017;


              1877                          1774

              22                                                        12       

1989=                 *1000= 0,000015;      1990=               *1000= 0,000011;


              1462  1050

             12                                                  9

1991=          *1000= 0,000013;    1992=             *1000= 0,000012;


            896 745

              11                                                                6

1993=                *1000=0,000012;               1994=                  *1000= 0,000009;


             546  664

 

 

1                                                                 15

1995=                 *1000= 0,000017;         1996=                    *1000= 0,000024:


              581              622

              15                                                              8

1997=               *1000= 0,000026:           1998=            *1000= 0,000015;


            584 542

                6                                                           6

1999 =               *1000= 0,000011:   2000=            *1000= 0,000010;


             537                            554

                16                                                        11

2001 =                 *1000= 0,000028;    2002=              *1000= 0,000018;


              572                            624

              6                                                                  9

2003=                *1000= 0,0000091:     2004=                  *1000= 0,000013;


             662                            672

                9

2005=                    *1000= 0,000016.


               578

 

9) Рассчитаем коэффициент  прибытия:

,

где П – число прибывших.

              7079                                               7973

1979=                 *1000= 0,0881;  1980 =              *1000= 0,0876;


80,3                                               80,3

               6788                                                   6673

1981=                *1000= 0,0845;     1982=             *1000= 0,0831;


80,3                                                  80,3

 

 

7313                                                   7418

1983=              *1000= 0,0910;          1984=            *1000=0,0924;


            80,3                                                      80,3

            7534                                                      7978

1985=            *1000= 0,0938;            1986=              * 1000= 0,0994;


              80,3                                                      80,3

               7252                                                    5537

1987=                  *1000= 0,0903;        1988=           *1000= 0,0690;


            80,3                                                       80,3

              5544                                                    5064       

1989=                 *1000= 0,0690;      1990=               *1000= 0,0631;


               80,3                                                   80,3

             3217                                           2513

1991=          *1000= 0,0401;    1992=             *1000= 0,0313;


            80,3                                            80,3

              2391                                                            2455

1993=                *1000=0,0298;               1994=                  *1000= 0,0306;


             80,3                                                             80,3

               1988                                                             1808

1995=                 *1000= 0,0248;             1996=                    *1000= 0,0225:


              80,3                                                              80,3

              1883                                                       1760

1997=               *1000= 0,0234:               1998=            *1000= 0,0219;


             80,3                                                          80,3

              1507                                                     1322

1999 =               *1000= 0,0188:           2000=            *1000= 0,0165;


             80,3                                                      80,3

              1232                                                    1061

2001 =                 *1000= 0,0153;       2002=              *1000= 0,0132;


              80,3                                                       80,3

              1022                                                         1024

2003=                *1000= 0,0127:             2004=                  *1000= 0,0128;


             80,3                                                             80,3

                1241

2005=                    *1000= 0,0155.


               80,3

 

10) Рассчитаем  коэффициент выбытия:

,

где В – число выбывших.

50174442

1979=                 *1000= 0,0625;  1980 =              *1000= 0,0553;


80,3                                               80,3

5039       5221

1981=                *1000= 0,0628;      1982=             *1000= 0,0650;


80,3                                                  80,3

55444923

1983=              *1000= 0,0690;          1984=            *1000=0,0613;


            80,3                                                      80,3

55235945

1985=            *1000= 0,0688;            1986=              * 1000= 0,0740;


              80,3                                                      80,3

67666274

1987=                  *1000= 0,0843;        1988=           *1000= 0,0781;


            80,3                                                       80,3

5409                                                    5521

1989=                 *1000= 0,0674;      1990=               *1000= 0,0688;


               80,3                                                   80,3

 

 

48685126

1991=          *1000= 0,0606;     1992=             *1000= 0,0638;


            80,3                                            80,3

45163943

1993=                *1000=0,0562;               1994=                  *1000= 0,0491;


             80,3                                                             80,3

32302948

1995=                 *1000= 0,0402;             1996=                    *1000= 0,0367:

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